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National
Integrated Resource Plan (NIRP) – 2003/2004
In
response to the White Paper’s objective relating to affordable
energy services, the National Electricity Regulator commissioned a
NIRP. The objective of the NIRP is to determine the least cost supply
option to the country, provide information on the opportunities for
investment into new power stations and evaluate the security of
supply.
The
national electricity demand forecast took a number of factors into
account. They are:
-
a 2.8% average
annual economic growth;
-
the development
and expansion of a number of large energy-intensive industrial
projects;
-
electrification
needs;
-
a reduction in
energy intensity over the 20 year planning horizon;
-
a reduction in
electricity consumers who will switch to the direct use of natural
gas;
-
the supply of
electricity to large mining and industrial projects in Namibia and
Mozambique; and
-
typical demand
profiles.
The
outcome of the NIRP determined that while the coal-fired option of
generating electricity would still be required over the next 20 years,
additional energy generation facilities would be required by 2007.
Need
for Energy Expansion
South
Africa’s surplus electricity supply is expected to be exhausted by
2007. In order to meet growing electricity demands, South Africa will
need to develop additional power generating capacity while at the same
time ensuring energy efficiency programmes are implemented to reduce
and shift demand.
Integrated
Strategic Electricity Planning (ISEP) in Eskom
Eskom’s
Integrated Strategic Electricity Planning (ISEP) process provides
strategic projections of supply-side and demand-side options to be
implemented to meet long-term load forecasts.
The
most attractive supply-side option is the return to service of the
mothballed plant referred to as the Simunye Power Stations, which were
placed in reserve storage during the period of high excess capacity on
the Eskom system. Eskom has investigated a variety of options,
including conventional pulverised fuel plants, pumped storage schemes,
gas fired plants, nuclear plants (Pebble Bed Modular Reactor - PBMR),
greenfield fluidised bed combustion technologies and renewable energy
technologies (mainly wind and solar projects). As
part of an ongoing effort to evaluate the viability of all supply-side
options, a number of power generation technologies, not yet
implemented in South Africa on a commercial basis, are been evaluated
in terms of technical, socio-economic and environmental aspects.
These research, development and demonstration investigations
include:
-
Underground high head pumped
storage (hydro) schemes using worked out mines.
-
Underground coal gasification.
-
Ultra fines coal.
-
Wind energy.
-
Pebble Bed Modular Reactor (PBMR)
technology.
-
A 100 MW(e) solar thermal power
plant.
-
Photovoltaic and biomass
gasification applications as part of the Government’s Integrated
Rural Development Programme.
Preliminary
results of these studies indicate that it is necessary to validate the
assumptions and modelling of some of these options through
demonstration/pilot plants. The
research and demonstration period for new technologies may take a
number of years to consider the long-term technical, operational and
socio-economic aspects. A
demonstration/pilot plant would provide sufficient information to make
a decision on the commercial use of a technology.
The
proposed PBMR DPP is one of these demonstrations.
Other demonstration/pilot plants either already in operation or
in the feasibility planning stage include large-scale solar thermal
technology, a wind demonstration facility, biomass gasification and
underground coal gasification.
While
individual aspects of the technologies used in the PBMR DPP have
already been proven by various projects throughout the world, one of
the purposes of this project is to demonstrate the integration of
these technologies. The main component of the project entails a demonstration
module for a 400 MW(t) electricity
generating power station at Koeberg Power Station Site in the Western
Cape, for which Eskom is the applicant.
In
accordance with the Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) Regulations,
appointed a consortium of independent
consultants
to undertake an entirely new EIA for the Pebble Bed Modular Reactor
Demonstration Power Plant (PBMR DPP) commencing in 2005 when Eskom.
The intention of this website is to facilitate an easily
referenced one stop shop on all aspects of the EIA that is to be
undertaken. The information on this website will include:
It
must be borne in mind that this is a dynamic website and information
can be changed without notification.
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